FUNDVIEW-U.S. debt problems keep FX managers away from dollars

By Naomi Tajitsu

LONDON | Mon Aug 1, 2011 9:44am EDT

LONDON Aug 1 (Reuters) - A deal to increase U.S. borrowing may prevent a debt default, but currency fund managers say it would do little to shake off their bearish stance on the dollar, adding they would remain underweight on assets denominated in the U.S. currency.

At the same time, they are hesitant to pick up Swiss franc-denominated assets, given the franc's surge to all-time highs. They preferred to stay overweight in emerging currencies on the view that developing economies will continue to grow faster than developed ones.

Some see the risk the U.S. may lose its AAA rating even if the Senate on Monday passes a deal to raise the debt ceiling and cut about $2.4 trillion from the deficit over the next decade.

Managers on Monday said this was another reason to avoid the world's most liquid currency, along with weak U.S. economic growth prospects and the ongoing shift away from dollars by reserve managers.

"Even if this plan goes through, it won't change things much," said Thanos Papasavvas, head of currency management at Investec Asset Management, which has $10 billion in assets under management.

"(Because of) the structural story, the cyclical story, and the reserves story, we have a pretty negative outlook on the dollar," he said, adding he saw a "decent" possibility that Washington would lose its triple-A status.

Papasavvas said he remained underweight dollar assets as a result, while adding he was overweight those denominated in euros and Asian and emerging currencies. more stories...